Friday, December 30, 2005

Fearless Football Predictions: Week 17

It's been an up and down year for me with football picks. I called that the Colts would lose two straight to end their undefeated season and made some other great calls throughout the year but my overall record while over .500 wasn't good enough to catch Brian in our head to head competition. As such I've lost a game in intersport competition for the first time in three years. However, I'm still holding out hope of picking that elusive perfect week. Here's what I'm thinking:

Denver over San Diego: With the Chargers out of playoff contention and LT unlikely to play and with the Broncos playing for a first round bye expect them to pull out the win.

Giants over the Raiders: I don't particularly like the Giants playoff chances with QB Eli Manning struggling right now but they'll easily handle the injury depleted Raiders to win the NFC East.

Carolina over Atlanta: Michael Vick and co. have nothing to play for so the Panthers should win easily.

Baltimore over Cleveland: A toss up but since returning from injury Ravens QB Kyle Boller has had his moments so I'll go with him and the Ravens.

Seattle over Green Bay: Even with Seattle resting their key players they should still have enough talent to beat an injury depleted Green Bay team.

Indy over Arizona: If the Colts were playing a good team I might think about picking them to lose three weeks in a row but there's no way they can lose to the Cardinals.

KC over Cincy: The Bengals will make the playoffs for the first time in my life time but they'll stumble in after losing to KC in what should be a high scoring shootout.

New England over Miami: Against anyone else I might have picked the improving Dolphins to win but the Patriots are hot right now and could still wind up with the #2 seed so they have a lot to play for.

Buffalo over the Jets: This one won't even be close.

Pittsburgh over Detroit: Pitt should have no problem tuning up for the playoffs here.

TB over NO: Battle of the two name cities can only mean one thing: 140 yards for Cadillac Williams and a Bucs win.

Houtson over San Fran: They should have the winner get the #1 pick so that you don't have two teams trying to lose in what has amounted to the Reggie Bush Bowl.

Jax over Tennessee: Is that how you spell Tennessee? Oh, who cares? Jacksonville's going to win no matter how you spell it.

Chicago over Minnesota: Maybe if they were playing pin the tail on the stripper and not football the Vikings would have a chance.

Philly over Washington: The Redskins are one of the hottest teams in the league right now and need a win to make the playoffs. The Eagles are done but would still love to play spoiler in an intradivision game.

Dallas over St. Louis: Questionable call lifts the Cowboys into the playoffs. No wait, that was last week.

Which means the playoff teams will be:

NFC - Giants, Bears, Panthers, Bucaneers, Seahawks, and Cowboys.

AFC - Broncos, Colts, Patriots, Bengals, Steelers, and Jacksonville.

4 comments:

WB said...

What was your overall PCT? and how about versus the spread?

Craig Shames said...

I didn't track my overall won-loss record. I would have to go back through each week to figure that out. I know it was well over .500 though probably around .600 but Berk probably picked at .700 clip. We both had good years but he was better. And we just picked winners, no spreads.

WB said...

A blind chicken should be able to go .500 that is not a benchmark you should be proud of.

A fourth grader with any knowledge about football should be able to go about .650. That is precisely the reason spreads are used in picking football.

Do you really need to be a fantasy god to pick Broncos over Raiders, Bears over Packers, and Pats over Jets last week? Flip a coin for the rest of the games and you're .625

Craig Shames said...

I'm not a God when it comes to picking games....that moniker just describes my acumen in fantasy games...picking games wise I just go by what the Shames-o-matic prediction meter tells me. And if you don't like it make your own picks.